Losing streak
A losing streak is a run of losing trades back to back. Streaks are normal at any win rate. They say less about your method than they feel like they do.
In depth
Do the arithmetic once and it stops feeling personal. At a 50 percent win rate, five losses in a row happen about one time in 32. Over a hundred trades you should expect a few. At a 40 percent win rate, a run of six turns up regularly. None of that means the method broke.
What tells you something is the shape of the streak. Losses that all hit the stop you set are the cost of doing business. Losses that got wider are a different problem. So are trades from setups you would not have taken on Monday. Same red numbers, opposite diagnosis.
Why it matters
The danger in a streak is what you do next. Size up to get it back and one more loss is now three losses deep. Size down or stop, and the streak stays a bad week. Traders also change methods mid-streak, which throws away the only sample worth reading.
TraderLog counts your streaks and shows your results after a win against your results after a loss. Automatic tags catch size jumps after a loss and fast re-entries. You can see whether the streak stayed mechanical. Max drawdown and worst day sit on the same page.
Frequently asked questions
Longer than feels fair. At a 40 percent win rate, six in a row is an ordinary event rather than a verdict.
Cut size first. Stop if the losses stopped following your rules, since that is a discipline problem rather than variance.
Keep your Losing streak trades on the record in TraderLog
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